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Philadelphia Phillies storyline: The GM’s creative juggling ahead

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Michael Young was the 2nd domino to fall for the Philadelphia Phillies.  How will the remaining dollars be spent by Rube Amaro?

TAL'S HANDY CAPS

TAL’S HANDY CAPS

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My articles are designed to represent a baseball-man’s thinking, the view from the dugout and the GM’s box. Most fans do not consider the budget, prospects on the radar, the stick-glove-or-power requirements, the track record, the competition and the other intangibles. Please go to my author archives or Phillies page for my most recent coverage. Scroll down to Tal’s Handy Links at the bottom. Thank you.

 

Check out:  Philadelphia Phillies storyline: Amaro’s new course

 

Baseball-Fix Schedule:

Baseball-Fix Schedule:

When the stove is hot, I will continue the process of the previous Monday’s approach, if appropriate.  For early birds Sunday evening is post time. Due to a strong response and a complicated off-season, my reviews will be weekly until spring training ends. The new summer schedule will allow me to publish the best 3 storylines each week, but there will be an updated calendar included with each feature:  Posts involving commentary, polls and stats will be listed for the upcoming 7 days.  This review is updated (2nd posting).

 

TIMEFRAME
FORMAT
PUBLISHING
December to AprilBaseball-Fix MondayWeekly
December to AprilSuds or Studs2-4 Times a Month
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Jeff Karstens Dials Up A 2-Seam Fastball On August 31 In Milwaukee

Jeff Karstens Dials Up A 2-Seam Fastball On August 31 In Milwaukee

 

 

2ND DECEMBER

BASEBALL-FIX MONDAY

 

 

 

Next On The Docket:

 

The initial offer was Vance Worley and Trevor May for Josh Willingham, but the Twins’ counter proposal was Ben Revere. That wasn’t the bat with pop, however; there is the rareness of an affordable center fielder. As a reference, Willingham is under contract for $7M per over 2 years, and he blasted 35 bombs last season. Meanwhile, Texas needed to free up money for Justin Upton and Josh Hamilton, while they experienced an overcrowded starting lineup. When I realized that Young could be had for $7.6M or less, I knew Amaro had found his third baseman.

 

Corner Outfielders:

PLAYER & AGE
2012 $
2011 $
AVG.
HR
RBI
BB - IBB
SB - CS
OF Cody Ross, 31$3.0M$06.3M.267228142 - 32 - 3
OF Scott Hairston, 32$1.1M$01.1M.263205719 - 08 - 2
LF Raul Ibanez, 40$1.1M$10.5M.240196235 - 53 - 0

 

Raul Ibanez Smokes A 4th-Inning Single During ALCS Game 2 On October 14 In Detroit

Raul Ibanez Smokes A 4th-Inning Single During ALCS Game 2 On October 14 In Detroit

 

The general manager now has $16.91M for 3 pieces, which can break down to $7-8M (RH outfield lumber), $5-6M (a 8th-inning set-up arm) and $2-3M (a 5-slot rotation hurler). That’s $14-17M for a Cody Ross, a Mike Adams and a Jeff Karstens or a John Lannan. Ross is asking for $8.33M per over 3 tours, which is in the same area code as Willingham and Ryan Ludwick. There is also the platoon possibility of Raul Ibanez and Scott Hairston, while the other corner is handled by Dom Brown with John Mayberry Jr. Plus in left, you can combine any L/R of Darin Ruf (RH), Laynce Nix (LH), Ibanez (LH) or Hairston (RH). Besides Adams, there is Brandon Lyon, Jon Rauch or Jason Frasor for 8th-frame duty. It is also reasonable to expect that Jonathan Pettibone or Ethan Martin could earn the role vacated by the Vanimal behind Kyle Kendrick.

 

Starters:

(* 2013 $)
PITCHER & AGE
LEVEL
2012 $
W-L & ERA
STARTS & INN
RHP Jeff Karstens, 30MLB$3.1M05 - 04, 3.9715 - 090.2
LHP John Lannan, 28MLB$5.0M04 - 01, 4.1306 - 032.2
LannanAAA-----09 - 11, 4.3024 - 148.2
RHP Jonathan Pettibone, 22AAA-----04 - 01, 2.5507 - 042.1
PettiboneAA-----09 - 07, 3.3019 - 159.2
RHP Ethan Martin, 23AA-----13 - 06, 3.4827 - 157.2
LHP Chris Capuano, 34MLB$6.0M *12 - 12, 3.7233 - 198.1
RHP Aaron Harang, 34MLB$7.0M *10 - 10, 3.6131 - 179.2
LHP Ted Lilly, 37 (Jan. 4)MLB$12M *05 - 01, 3.1408 - 048.2

 

 

Chris Capuano Loads Up In The 3rd On September 27 In San Diego

Chris Capuano Loads Up In The 3rd On September 27 In San Diego

 

It is important to note that the Dodgers have 8 wings for a 5-man staff.  They have Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, Josh Beckett and Ryu Hyun-Jin.  The final spot will be for Chad Billingsley, if the shutdown was successful. Ted Lilly is supposed to be ready by spring training after he went under the knife.  With the Dodgers picking up half of their 2013 pay, Chris Capuano and Aaron Harang would be the most appealing to the Phils, but there will be competition from other organizations.

 

 

Free-Agent Back-End Arms:

NOTE:   Set entries button at 25 for every second row to have an alternating background color.

(** Pitched With Injury During 2012)
HURLER, AGE
2012 $
ERA
GAMES
BAD %
Mike Adams, 34$04.40M3.27 **61 Total37 Good09 Okay15 Bad24.6%
Brandon Lyon, 33$05.00M3.106743071725.4%
Jon Rauch, 34$03.50M3.597351051723.3%
Jason Frasor, 35$03.75M4.125031081122.0%

 

** He pitched with a mild case of Thoracic Outlet Syndrome, where the rib bone pushes against a nerve to cause numbness.  He faltered only in his last appearance, producing a 2.79 ERA before that.

 

Mike Adams Deals A 4-Seam Fastball In The 8th At Home On September 27 Against The A's

Mike Adams Deals A 4-Seam Fastball In The 8th At Home On September 27 Against The A’s

Many of these combinations have traveled beyond the exploratory stage. Rube only appears to be nowhere near a deal, which is by design. The recent trade for Young is an excellent example. Sources from Dallas knew that Josh Lindblom was in the swap on Friday morning, but locally it wasn’t revealed until Saturday afternoon. Another thing about Amaro is that he understands that Young will be extremely motivated for a 2011 repeat. He averaged .338 with 11 homeruns and 114 RBI for that 162. Remember, stars generally impress everyone in their first campaign with a new club. By the way, the brain trust treated him like a number one pick to win him over. And don’t think the market has dried up, Rube has 9 free agents and 2 rookie studs to consider before the unsigned bargains, like Ryan Madson last winter.

 

$178M Maximum Before The Luxury Tax:

NOTE:  Click entries button to open more than the visible 10.

The last review of this table was on 6/4.
DOLLARS
ALLOCATION
PLAYERS
$72.14MCore FourRollins, Utley, Howard & Hamels
$56.50MAces & CloserHalladay, Lee & Papelbon
$06.25M2 StartersKendrick & Lannan
$12.75M5 RegularsC Ruiz, 3B M. Young, CF Revere,
RF D. Young & LF Brown
$03.70M5 Bench SpotsMayberry, Nix, Kratz, Frandsen & Galvis
$09.60M6 'Pen SeatsAdams, Bastardo, Horst, De Fratus & Stutes
$10.75MSet Aside$5M (Trading Deadline), $3M (Achieved Incentives,
Replacements & Injury Replacements) & $1.45M
(D. Young's Incentives)
Lannan's $1.3M Included in Row Total
(See Add-on at Bottom).
$02.00MBuyoutsPolanco, Contreras & Wigginton
$01.10MReleasedDurbin
$173.59MTOTAL24 Roster Spots
$04.41MOriginal Balance
$01.30MAdd Change$1.3M Lannan's Incentives (Unreachable due to Injury)
$00.50M25th ManSavery
$05.21MNew Balance

 

 

Update:

The red pinstripes–if true–offered Josh Hamilton top dollar ($80M) for 3 years, however; he will probably get a 4-season deal elsewhere. Alfonso Soriano at $10M for two 162’s is acceptable, but the asking price of top prospects is too steep. That stated, it will take a lot of negotiation to reach an agreement.

 

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This is the 6th storyline for 2013. Check out my recent publication (A History Of Success) on the Phillies page or my author archives, where there is an excerpt photo. Also, my new weekly feature is Suds Or Studs.

I will periodically publish the 2013 ERA For The NL East and the 2013 ERA For The MLB 5. Thank you, to all who bookmarked my page.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 2012 ERA for the NL East at final game 162

Philadelphia Phillies: 2012 ERA for the MLB 5 at final game 162

 


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